Mr. Charles Oppenheim of the Department of State (DOS) Visa Office has advised as to the following DOS estimates regarding the movement of immigrant visa priority dates:
- The EB-4 category has experienced a surge in cases. If the trend continues, visas may no longer be current later in FY 2009
- The EB-5 category has also experienced a surge in cases this year. Although it is expected that the EB-5 category will remain current, it will mean fewer leftover numbers will be re-allocated to the EB-1 and EB-2 categories, and possibly a longer wait for immigrants from China and India.
- Demand for the EB-1 category worldwide is high, but the visas will remain current for FY 2009.
- The EB-1 category for India and China are current for July 2009, but will likely be cut off in August or September 2009 based on current demand.
- The EB-2 applicants born in India or China are likely facing a wait of years, if not decades, without legislative changes to the number of visas available. These categories will likely become unavailable in August or September 2009. There are approximately 25,000 adjudicated cases chargeable to India, that are queued and waiting for a visa to become available.
- The EB-3 Worldwide category will be unavailable for the remainder of FY 2009. The Department of Labor has cleared its backlog of Alien Labor Certification cases and there were tens of thousands of I-485 applications with priority dates in 2004 and earlier that were processed by USCIS this year. There will be extended delays in this category. It is expected that at the start of FY 2010 on 01 October 2009, the worldwide cut off date will be 01 March 2003.
- The EB-3 category for India, China, and Mexico applicants will remain unavailable in FY 2009. The likely cut off date as of 01 October 2009, is estimated at: China, March 1, 2003; India, November 1, 2001; and Mexico, March 1, 2003.
- There are approximately 25,000 EB3 applicants currently queued at the DOS awaiting at visa numbers.
- There are 2.7 million family based applicants on the waiting lists for consular processing as of March.
- There are approximately 50,000 employment base applicants on the waiting lists for consular processing.
- Currently, approximately 90% of all employment based visa numbers are used by USCIS, while 75% of family based visa numbers are used by consular posts.
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